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La Niña could bring hotter summer, fewer typhoons to Taiwan

Reporter TVBS News Staff
Release time:2024/06/27 16:22
Last update time:2024/06/27 16:22
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TAIPEI (TVBS News) — The Central Weather Administration (CWA, 中央氣象署) has observed a lower-than-average number of typhoons in the northwest Pacific this year, reporting only two compared to the usual average of 4.3.

The agency forecasts a normal to slightly lower-than-average number of typhoons for the remainder of the year, predicting two to four typhoons near Taiwan.

 

Reflecting on the rainy season in May and June, Taiwan experienced several weather fronts, although they were brief. While central and southern regions received less than average rainfall, the overall precipitation was below average.

During this period, the CWA recorded frequent shifts between cold and hot conditions. Temperatures were cooler when weather fronts and the northeast monsoon impacted the area, and warmer otherwise. Overall, temperatures remained around the norm.

According to the CWA, sea temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific have been decreasing, which indicates the onset of La Niña. Historically, La Niña years have led to hotter summers and typhoons forming closer to Taiwan.
 

After reviewing multiple international forecasts, the CWA expects warmer than usual temperatures from July to September, with rainfall likely being normal to slightly below average.

Chen Yi-liang (陳怡良), Director of the Weather Forecast Center at the CWA, noted, "We could see two to four typhoons near Taiwan this year. Depending on high-pressure systems, their paths might go straight west or turn north, affecting Taiwan either way."

The CWA is advising the public to prepare for the typhoon season beginning in July and to remain vigilant about high temperatures and thunderstorms. It will provide updates every three hours during typhoons and hold regular press briefings on typhoon developments.