TAIPEI (TVBS News) — Meteorologist Wu Der-rong (吳德榮) forecasts a tropical system's passage near Taiwan's eastern coast Thursday (July 24) and Friday (July 25). The system will bring significant rainfall to northern Taiwan, developing as either a tropical depression or weak typhoon according to current projections. Northern Taiwan faces noticeable precipitation and occasional strong gusts as the weather system approaches the island's eastern waters. The meteorological forecast indicates challenging weather conditions ahead for residents in affected northern regions of the island nation.
Wu noted that European model simulations indicated Taiwan remained under monsoon circulation Tuesday and Wednesday, causing unstable atmospheric conditions across the island. Eastern areas may experience scattered showers or thunderstorms, while western mountainous regions could see similar weather patterns, potentially extending to low-lying areas. The tropical system's periphery and monsoon circulation Thursday and Friday increase rain likelihood and gusty winds in northern Taiwan. Scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms are expected in central and southern regions during this period.
Wu expects monsoon circulation to continue affecting Taiwan from Saturday to next Monday, maintaining atmospheric instability across the island nation. Scattered showers or thunderstorms remain likely throughout this period, with robust afternoon convection and hot, muggy weather during rain-free intervals. European model ensemble path simulation shows the tropical system passing through eastern waters and entering northern seas, though development remains limited due to strong vertical wind shear. The meteorologist emphasizes the system's loose structure will prevent significant intensification as it moves through regional waters.
Wu mentioned the latest American model ensemble path simulation shows another tropical system north of Guam with stronger development potential than the approaching system. The system's path veers northward, positioning it too far from Taiwan to pose any immediate concern for the island nation. This secondary weather system remains outside Taiwan's area of meteorological influence, according to current forecasting models and trajectory analysis conducted by regional weather services. Residents can focus attention on the more immediate Thursday-Friday weather system instead. ◼