TAIPEI (TVBS News) — In the latest poll conducted by ETtoday for Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the "Lai-Hsiao" (Lai Ching-te, Hsiao Bi-khim) ticket of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) leads with 38.1% of voter support, followed by "Hou-Jaw" (Hou Yu-ih) ticket of the Kuomintang (KMT) with 34.8% and the "Ko-Wu" (Ko Wen-je, Cynthia Wu) ticket of the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) at 19.2%.
The Lai-Hsiao ticket's approval rating has increased by 1.9 percentage points since the last poll, while the Hou-Jaw ticket remained constant, and the Ko-Wu ticket slid 1.5 points. The gap between Lai and Hou has grown from 1.4 to 3.3 points.
In terms of demographics, Lai leads in Taiwan's southern regions and among people aged 40-49, with respective approval ratings of 49.7% and 38.1%. Hou leads in the north, outlying eastern islands, and among those 60 and older, with approval ratings at 38.6%, 42.5%, and 52.7%, respectively. Ko leads among younger voters aged 20-39.
Lai's support increased by 15.9 points among voters aged 50-59, hence improving in a previously weaker demographic. However, in terms of party allegiance, Lai's support decreased by a significant 20 points among DPP supporters. Meanwhile, Hou's support remained steady, and Ko's approval surged 10.6 points among pan-DPP supporters.
The poll was carried out on Dec. 25-26, surveying Taiwanese aged 20 and older about the 2024 presidential elections, with a sample size of 1,618, a margin of error of plus or minus 2.44%, and a confidence level of 95%.